As we have discussed previously, UFOs are real. Once you realize the sheer number of UFO sightings from credible witnesses, tracked visually and on radar, the next obvious question is “what are they?” (It goes without saying not all sightings are the same; there are a wide range of reported characteristics, but also some striking similarities)
A declassified memo from 1968, titled “UFO Hypothesis and Survival Questions,” presents a thought-provoking analysis of some possible causes of these sightings. The document, available on the NSA’s Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) website, includes discussion on 5 possible explanations.
1) All UFOs are hoaxes: The author argues that this scenario is unlikely because sightings are reported worldwide and many reputable scientists have been among the witnesses. If they were all hoaxes, “Such an aberration would seem to have serious implications for nations with nuclear toys – and should require immediate and careful study by scientists.”
2) All UFOs are hallucinations: The author argues that this is highly unlikely because some sightings have been confirmed by radar, visually, and, occasionally, even by circumstantial physical evidence. “…if UFOs did turn out to be largely illusionary, the psychological implications for man would certainly bring into question his ability to distinguish reality from fantasy.”
3) All UFOs are natural phenomena: If this is the case, the author argues that the capabilities of our air defense systems should be called into question. First off, many trained personnel have reported UFOs to appear as high-performance aircraft or rockets, which could lead to false reports of a missile attack from a foreign country (Russia). Second, an enemy could exploit a potential weakness by mimicking some of the properties of UFOs. Some of the reports had been accompanied by massive electromagnetic interference, and this could potentially be exploited by an enemy as well.
4) Some UFOs are secret Earth projects: This scenario seems likely by the author. It is therefore important to carefully scrutinize all UFOs to prevent “the very strong possibility of being intimidated by a new secret ‘doomsday’ weapon.”
5) Some UFOs are related to extra-terrestrial intelligence: The author argues that this is a serious possibility, with far-reaching implications, that needs to be considered by investigators. If this option is true, that means this intelligence is humanity’s technological superior, and history has shown that things don’t usually work out well for the “inferiors,” so some adaptation measures should be taken.
The author concludes with the recommendation that more urgency is needed to “isolate the threat and to determine it’s precise nature – It would be geared to developing adequate defensive measures in a minimum amount of time.”
Read the memo here and leave your reaction in the comments.